SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Boston River |
33.23% ( 0.15) | 28.13% ( -0.08) | 38.64% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.05% ( 0.32) | 58.95% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.57% ( 0.25) | 79.43% ( -0.25) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( 0.28) | 33.04% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( 0.3) | 69.63% ( -0.3) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.12) | 29.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( 0.14) | 65.63% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.23% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.63% |
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