SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Boston River |
| 29.95% | 25.99% | 44.06% |
| Both teams to score 52.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% | 51.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% | 73.42% |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% | 31.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% | 67.98% |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% | 23.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% | 57.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2% Total : 44.05% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
