Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
