SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.98%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.11%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (13.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro Largo |
33.36% ( -0.45) | 30.66% ( 0.19) | 35.98% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 40.37% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.84% ( -0.59) | 67.16% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.63% ( -0.4) | 85.37% ( 0.4) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.65) | 37.37% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.85% ( -0.65) | 74.15% ( 0.65) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0.16) | 35.54% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% ( -0.16) | 72.3% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.77% Total : 33.36% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.66% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 7% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.97% |
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