SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Fenix |
31.43% ( -0.19) | 28.33% ( -0.05) | 40.25% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0.14) | 59.98% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.77% ( 0.1) | 80.23% ( -0.11) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.07) | 34.86% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( -0.07) | 71.6% ( 0.07) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.21) | 29.17% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( 0.26) | 65.11% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.25% |
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