SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Luz win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Luz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | La Luz |
34.65% ( 0.56) | 28.29% ( 0.21) | 37.05% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.62% ( -0.72) | 59.38% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% ( -0.56) | 79.76% ( 0.56) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.01) | 32.3% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.19% ( 0.01) | 68.8% ( -0) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -0.83) | 30.77% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( -0.99) | 67.04% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.04% |
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