SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Fenix |
29.41% ( -0.27) | 27.73% ( 0.2) | 42.85% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% ( -0.81) | 58.5% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.63) | 79.09% ( 0.64) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.64) | 35.59% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( -0.66) | 72.35% ( 0.67) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.34) | 27.03% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -0.45) | 62.39% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.41% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.85% |
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