SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportivo Maldonado in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | La Luz |
43.51% ( -0.34) | 29.07% ( -0.11) | 27.42% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 42.43% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.27% ( 0.51) | 63.73% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.01% ( 0.36) | 82.99% ( -0.37) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.07) | 29.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( 0.08) | 65.12% ( -0.08) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( 0.68) | 40.09% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( 0.61) | 76.74% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.42% |
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