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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 16, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Boston River
1 - 2
La Luz

Gutierrez (59')
Rodriguez (24'), Corbo (35'), Beltran (41'), Gutierrez (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gonzalez (4'), Quintana (34' pen.)
Gonzalez (17'), Castillo (58'), Correa (60'), Viera (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Boston River
Sunday, November 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 1-2 Cerro
Saturday, November 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawLa Luz
39.33% (-0.119 -0.12) 28.72% (0.179 0.18) 31.94% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.19% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.77% (-0.623 -0.62)61.22% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.84% (-0.467 -0.47)81.16% (0.465 0.47)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.381 -0.38)30.31% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-0.456 -0.46)66.49% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.375 -0.38)35.15% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.395 -0.4)71.9% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 39.32%
    La Luz 31.94%
    Draw 28.71%
Boston RiverDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.65% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Boston River
Sunday, November 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-1 Fenix
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Boston River
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Nacional
Friday, October 20 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boston River
Sunday, October 15 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Maldonado
Sunday, October 8 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 1-2 Cerro
Saturday, November 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 La Luz
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-3 La Luz
Wednesday, October 18 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, October 14 at 8.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-0 La Luz
Saturday, October 7 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division


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