SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Fenix |
53.58% ( -0.52) | 25.31% ( 0.37) | 21.11% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( -1.19) | 55.46% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( -0.99) | 76.65% ( 0.99) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.68) | 20.71% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -1.09) | 53.33% ( 1.1) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.52) | 41.33% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( -0.46) | 77.85% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.18% Total : 21.11% |
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