Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
