SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Montevideo City Torque | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 46.13% | 24.62% | 29.24% |
| Both teams to score 56.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% | 46.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% | 20.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.63% | 52.37% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% | 29.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% | 65.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.24% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.38% Total : 29.24% |
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