Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
