Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Albion had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Albion win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.
