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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Liverpool |
39.91% ( 0.27) | 27.33% ( -0.24) | 32.76% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.88) | 56.04% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( 0.71) | 77.12% ( -0.71) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0.57) | 27.47% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 0.73) | 62.96% ( -0.73) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( 0.43) | 31.87% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( 0.49) | 68.31% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.76% |
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