SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
31.73% ( 0.09) | 28.03% ( 0.05) | 40.25% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( -0.16) | 58.85% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.65% ( -0.13) | 79.35% ( 0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.02) | 34.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.02) | 70.73% ( 0.02) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.16) | 28.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( -0.2) | 64.43% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.25% |
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