SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
42.96% ( -0) | 27.59% ( 0) | 29.44% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.39% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.98% ( -0.01) | 58.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.3% ( -0.01) | 78.7% ( 0.01) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -0) | 26.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( -0.01) | 62.01% ( 0.01) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0) | 35.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( -0) | 72.06% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.44% |
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