SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro Largo |
56.75% ( -0.55) | 23.61% ( 0.14) | 19.64% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( -0.02) | 50.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( -0.02) | 72.58% ( 0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( -0.21) | 17.66% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.72% ( -0.36) | 48.28% ( 0.36) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( 0.44) | 40.14% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( 0.4) | 76.78% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.74% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.64% |
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