SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
38.35% ( -0.05) | 29.43% ( 0.06) | 32.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.35% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.49% ( -0.19) | 63.51% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.16% ( -0.14) | 82.83% ( 0.14) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.13) | 32.07% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( -0.14) | 68.54% ( 0.14) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% ( -0.11) | 36.18% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( -0.11) | 72.97% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.22% |
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