SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Liverpool |
25.08% ( -0.5) | 28.61% ( -0.14) | 46.3% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 42.03% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.15) | 63.42% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.22% ( 0.11) | 82.77% ( -0.11) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.38) | 41.99% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.57% ( -0.33) | 78.43% ( 0.33) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( 0.4) | 27.54% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 0.52) | 63.06% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 25.08% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 14.91% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 46.3% |
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