SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Albion had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.66%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Nacional |
13.77% ( 0.2) | 20.86% ( 0.18) | 65.37% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.32) | 49.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( -0.29) | 71.28% ( 0.28) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.12) | 46.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.65% ( 0.09) | 82.34% ( -0.09) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( -0.22) | 14.27% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( -0.43) | 42.06% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.77% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 12.66% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.22% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 65.36% |
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