Nacional
2 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
46.79%	27.88%	25.32%

Both teams to score 44.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02%

60.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02%

80.97%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.22%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.62%

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01%

76.98%

Score Analysis

Nacional 46.78%

Plaza Colonia 25.32%

Draw 27.87%

Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.78%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.32% Total : 25.32%