Nacional
0 - 1
Progreso

Rodriguez (52'), Ocampo (60'), Polenta (89'), Fernandez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Colman (57')
Olaizola (4'), Asconeguy (45'), Andrada (64'), Gottesman (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Progreso
48.69%	25.93%	25.38%

Both teams to score 49.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96%

54.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53%

75.47%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78%

22.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36%

55.64%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54%

36.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75%

73.24%

Score Analysis

Nacional 48.68%

Progreso 25.39%

Draw 25.92%

Nacional	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.68%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.84% Total : 25.39%