Penarol
1 - 0
Nacional

Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Nacional
47.4%	26.53%	26.07%

Both teams to score 48.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15%

55.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03%

76.97%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43%

23.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36%

57.64%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.14%

36.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.35%

73.65%

Score Analysis

Penarol 47.39%

Nacional 26.07%

Draw 26.53%

Penarol	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.39%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.07%