Penarol
3 - 1
Sud America

Canobbio (58'), Trindade (90+4', 90+8')
Musto (88'), Trindade (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrade (71')
Ramirez (34'), Andrade (78'), Centurion (90+3')
Morales (34')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 10.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.98%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Sud America win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Sud America
71.16%	18.78%	10.06%

Both teams to score 40.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5%

49.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.46%

71.53%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.36%

12.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.22%

38.77%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.52%

53.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.05%

86.95%

Score Analysis

Penarol 71.16%

Sud America 10.06%

Draw 18.78%

Penarol	Draw	Sud America
2-0 @ 14.46% 1-0 @ 13.98% 3-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.24% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 3.23% 5-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.64% Total : 71.16%	1-1 @ 8.75% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.78%	0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 2.74% 0-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.06%