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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 6, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 3
Maldonado

Gigliotti (84'), Zunino (90+3')
Rodriguez (23'), Gigliotti (69'), Luis Rodriguez (72'), Ramirez (90+5')
Gigliotti (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darias (67'), Marichal (71' og.), Cantera (90+7')
Darias (23')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDeportivo Maldonado
59.36%22.97%17.67%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14%50.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25%72.75%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2%16.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23%46.77%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49%42.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.12%78.88%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.35%
    Deportivo Maldonado 17.67%
    Draw 22.96%
NacionalDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 6.76%
3-1 @ 5.78%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 59.35%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 17.67%

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