SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 59.36% | 22.97% | 17.67% |
| Both teams to score 47.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% | 50.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% | 72.75% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% | 16.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.23% | 46.77% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.49% | 42.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.12% | 78.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.78% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.84% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.67% |
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