SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 31 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 30 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 31 | -19 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 32 | 46 | 72 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 31 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Penarol | 31 | 11 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Liverpool |
26.41% ( -1.35) | 25.92% ( -0.14) | 47.66% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.28) | 53.32% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( -0.24) | 74.86% ( 0.23) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( -1.24) | 35.2% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.04% ( -1.31) | 71.95% ( 1.31) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.56) | 22.37% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 0.83) | 55.87% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.66% |
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