SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 29 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 29 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | Boston River | 28 | 10 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 28 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 28 | -40 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerrito |
52.21% ( 0.27) | 26.43% ( -0.06) | 21.36% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% ( -0.01) | 59.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( -0.01) | 79.56% ( 0) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( 0.12) | 22.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% ( 0.17) | 56.51% ( -0.18) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.23) | 43.17% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% ( -0.2) | 79.44% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.36% |
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