SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rentistas | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
30.77% ( -4.02) | 28.67% ( -0.67) | 40.55% ( 4.67) |
| Both teams to score 44.98% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.69% ( 1.65) | 61.31% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% ( 1.22) | 81.22% ( -1.22) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -1.98) | 36.06% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( -2.07) | 72.84% ( 2.07) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( 3.71) | 29.64% ( -3.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( 4.3) | 65.68% ( -4.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rentistas | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -1.33) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.47)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -1.03)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.77% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.69)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.69)0-2 @ 7.9% ( 1.05)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.7)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.29)Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.55% |
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