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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool
0 - 1
Progreso


Perez (3'), Garcia (55'), Chacon (62'), Chocobar (88')
Chacon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (4')
Arias (21'), Andrada (25'), Marta (55'), Olaizola (59'), Barboza (90+1')
Arias (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawProgreso
50.16%24.28%25.55%
Both teams to score 54.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73%47.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51%69.49%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65%50.34%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8%69.2%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 50.16%
    Progreso 25.55%
    Draw 24.28%
LiverpoolDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.55%

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