Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (7.58%).
