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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 16, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 1
Racing

Cabrera (54')
Ramirez (42'), Babi (51'), Coelho (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nandin (74')
Alaniz (44'), Mederos (61'), Odriozola (85'), Ferreira (90+8')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Penarol
Saturday, June 8 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
59.29% (0.171 0.17) 23.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 16.8% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 43.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)55.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)76.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (0.096999999999994 0.1)49.81% (-0.103 -0.1)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.57% (-0.173 -0.17)46.42% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.95% (-0.133 -0.13)82.05% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 59.29%
    Racing de Montevideo 16.8%
    Draw 23.9%
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.86% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 16.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Penarol
Saturday, June 8 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, June 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Rosario
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Progreso
Friday, May 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Racing
Sunday, June 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Racing
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Boston River
Friday, May 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Racing
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Nacional
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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