Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
59.29% (![]() | 23.91% (![]() | 16.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.37% (![]() | 55.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.21% (![]() | 76.78% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% (![]() | 18.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% (![]() | 49.81% (![]() |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.57% (![]() | 46.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.95% (![]() | 82.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
1-0 @ 14.51% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.22% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 11.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.37% Total : 16.8% |
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