SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Albion had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Albion |
43.61% ( 0.54) | 29.55% ( -0) | 26.83% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 40.92% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.21) | 65.42% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.82% ( -0.14) | 84.18% ( 0.15) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.2) | 29.96% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( 0.24) | 66.07% ( -0.23) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.43% ( -0.59) | 41.57% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.94% ( -0.52) | 78.06% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.2% Total : 26.83% |
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