SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
47.8% ( -0.29) | 29.85% ( 0.03) | 22.36% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 37.02% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.53% ( 0.1) | 68.48% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.75% ( 0.07) | 86.25% ( -0.06) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.1) | 29.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.13) | 65.21% ( 0.13) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.34) | 47.67% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.01% ( 0.25) | 82.99% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 17.14% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 47.79% | 0-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.83% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.36% |
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