SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
39.02% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0) | 33.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.07% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0) | 57.77% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( -0) | 78.51% ( 0) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0) | 28.8% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.01) | 64.65% ( 0.01) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 0) | 69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.16% |
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