SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
48.01% ( 0.05) | 28.08% ( 0) | 23.9% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.5% ( -0.04) | 62.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.9% ( -0.03) | 82.1% ( 0.03) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( 0.01) | 61.36% ( -0) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.07) | 42.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% ( -0.06) | 78.93% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 14.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.89% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 23.9% |
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