Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Danubio	Draw	River Plate
26.14% ( -0.1)	30.08% ( -0.01)	43.78% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.8% (

-0.01)

67.2% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.6% (

-0)

85.4% (

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.77% (

-0.09)

43.23% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51% (

-0.08)

79.48% (

0.08)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23% (

0.06)

30.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

0.07)

67.03% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Danubio 26.13%

River Plate 43.77%

Draw 30.07%

Danubio	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 26.13%	0-0 @ 13.3% 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.07%	0-1 @ 15.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.77%