SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
26.14% ( -0.1) | 30.08% ( -0.01) | 43.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.3% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.8% ( -0.01) | 67.2% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.6% ( -0) | 85.4% ( 0) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.77% ( -0.09) | 43.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.51% ( -0.08) | 79.48% ( 0.08) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( 0.06) | 30.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( 0.07) | 67.03% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.04% Total : 26.13% | 0-0 @ 13.3% 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.07% | 0-1 @ 15.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.77% |
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