Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Sep 5, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

Parque Maracaná

Cerrito
1 - 5
River Plate

Klingender (3')
Canosa (53'), (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lopez (11'), Canosa (28' og.), Borbas (57', 90+1'), Cruz De los Santos (75')
Pereira (37')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Cerrito	Draw	River Plate
19.99% ( 1.2)	25.48% ( 0.37)	54.53% ( -1.57)

Both teams to score 44.57% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

0.06)

57.24% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

0.05)

78.09% (

-0.05)

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.44% (

1.41)

43.56% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.24% (

1.15)

79.76% (

-1.15)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0.61)

21.04% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

-0.96)

53.84% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Cerrito 19.99%

River Plate 54.52%

Draw 25.48%

Cerrito	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.99%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 14.28% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.52%