Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 30 | 6 | 49 |
6 | River Plate | 30 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Defensor Sporting | 30 | 4 | 48 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nacional | 31 | 46 | 71 |
2 | Liverpool | 31 | 18 | 55 |
3 | Boston River | 30 | 10 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
23.23% ( -0.03) | 26.89% ( 0.31) | 49.88% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 44.72% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.88% ( -1.08) | 59.12% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.44% ( -0.84) | 79.56% ( 0.84) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.72% ( -0.64) | 41.28% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.19% ( -0.57) | 77.8% ( 0.57) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% ( -0.59) | 23.85% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.97% ( -0.86) | 58.03% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 14.11% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.87% |
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