SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fenix | 29 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Albion | 29 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 29 | -13 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Penarol | 29 | 8 | 46 |
| 7 | River Plate | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | Danubio | 30 | 6 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Albion had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | River Plate |
23.06% ( 0.18) | 24.82% ( -0.21) | 52.12% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.99) | 51.7% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( 0.85) | 73.47% ( -0.84) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.72) | 37.26% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( 0.7) | 74.05% ( -0.7) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.41) | 19.81% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( 0.65) | 51.89% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.06% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.12% |
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