SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 29 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 29 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 29 | -43 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 30 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 29 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 29 | -21 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rentistas | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
26.51% ( 0.31) | 25.98% ( -0.03) | 47.51% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.32) | 53.47% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( 0.27) | 74.99% ( -0.27) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.43) | 35.19% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( 0.44) | 71.94% ( -0.44) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.01) | 22.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( 0.01) | 56.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rentistas | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.51% |
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