SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Fenix | 30 | -2 | 42 |
| 10 | Montevideo Wanderers | 30 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 30 | -12 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 30 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 30 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 30 | -45 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Rentistas |
46.24% ( -0.67) | 26.16% ( -0.03) | 27.59% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( 0.54) | 53.52% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( 0.45) | 75.04% ( -0.45) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( -0.08) | 23.11% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( -0.12) | 56.96% ( 0.12) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( 0.86) | 34.34% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.95% ( 0.91) | 71.05% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.59% |
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