SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | River Plate | 28 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Penarol | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 28 | 4 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 28 | -14 | 27 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 28 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 29 | -43 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Rentistas |
61.26% ( 0.02) | 23.89% ( -0.01) | 14.85% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.92% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% ( 0.01) | 58.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% ( 0.01) | 79.02% ( -0.01) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( 0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( 0.02) | 50.35% ( -0.02) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.21% ( -0.01) | 50.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.8% ( -0.01) | 85.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 15.98% 2-0 @ 13.32% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.7% 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 14.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
