Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
45.62% (![]() | 27.92% (![]() | 26.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.51% (![]() | 60.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.39% (![]() | 80.6% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% (![]() | 26.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% (![]() | 61.71% (![]() |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% (![]() | 39.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% (![]() | 75.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 13.75% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.36% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.49% Total : 26.46% |
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