SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for River Plate has a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.85%), while for a River Plate win it is 1-0 (7.44%).
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Penarol |
21.36% ( -2.38) | 25.11% ( 0.17) | 53.53% ( 2.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( -3.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.55% ( -2.91) | 54.45% ( 2.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.18% ( -2.48) | 75.81% ( 2.48) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( -3.94) | 40.48% ( 3.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( -3.76) | 77.09% ( 3.76) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( -0.25) | 20.33% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( -0.4) | 52.72% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.61)2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.52)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 13.11% ( 1.33) 0-2 @ 10.44% ( 0.98)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.6% Total : 53.52% |
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