SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Albion | 17 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 17 | -17 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Albion | 17 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 17 | -17 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerrito |
48.53% ( -0.03) | 28.18% ( 0.01) | 23.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.8% ( -0.01) | 63.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% ( -0.01) | 82.61% ( 0.01) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( -0.03) | 61.46% ( 0.03) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.02) | 43.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.24% ( 0.02) | 79.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 15.3% 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.3% |
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