Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Coelho (38'), Trezza (40'), Zabala (83')
Rodriguez (16'), Rochet (32'), Carballo (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Quintana (20' pen.)
Dibble (52'), Fernandez (74'), Quintana (85')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
59.17% ( -0.17)	24.75% ( 0.11)	16.08% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 40.18% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.49% (

-0.28)

59.5% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.14% (

-0.21)

79.86% (

0.22)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.17)

20.09% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.66% (

-0.28)

52.33% (

0.28)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.28% (

-0.09)

49.71% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54% (

-0.06)

84.46% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Nacional 59.15%

Plaza Colonia 16.08%

Draw 24.75%

Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 16.02% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 59.15%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.92% 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.08%