SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo City Torque in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | La Luz |
38.61% ( -0.04) | 27.99% ( 0.01) | 33.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.05) | 58.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% ( -0.04) | 79.01% ( 0.04) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.05) | 29.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( -0.06) | 65.33% ( 0.05) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.02) | 32.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% ( -0.02) | 69.19% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.39% |
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