SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
21.48% ( 0.45) | 25.14% ( 0.22) | 53.37% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 47.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% ( -0.36) | 54.46% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( -0.3) | 75.83% ( 0.29) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.64% ( 0.27) | 40.36% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.02% ( 0.24) | 76.98% ( -0.25) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( -0.42) | 20.4% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% ( -0.66) | 52.83% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.48% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.4% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 53.36% |
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