SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Rentistas | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Albion | 17 | -14 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Rentistas | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 16 | -3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Rentistas |
50.97% ( 0.3) | 25.6% ( -0.15) | 23.43% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( 0.45) | 54.35% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( 0.37) | 75.73% ( -0.37) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( 0.31) | 21.36% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( 0.48) | 54.33% ( -0.47) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( 0.12) | 38.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( 0.12) | 75.15% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.43% |
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