SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
61.69% ( 0.05) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 16.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.01) | 47.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.01) | 69.68% ( 0.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( 0.01) | 14.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.81% ( 0.02) | 43.19% ( -0.02) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.17% ( -0.05) | 41.83% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.71% ( -0.04) | 78.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 61.68% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.59% |
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